Marc Faber Blog

Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Asset Allocation and Asian stock exposure

As an asset allocation I have 25 per cent each in precious metals, equities, real estate, and bonds and cash. This may not be the best of allocation. But it’s a disciplined approach. Today no one can tell where the world will go in the next three to five years. But with such asset allocation I am sure that in terms of purchasing parity I will be better [off].

I have been investing in precious metals. In fact, whenever there is a sell-off I had added them in my portfolio. Among equities, my investment in the US is near to nothing, though recently I have added some oil shares. My largest exposure is in Asia with investments in Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and China. Six to nine months back I invested in China when valuations were really low and attractive. In 2012, I had invested in European shares. Some of my bond investments are in Latin America.

Monday, March 30, 2015

US Stocks expensive, Europe India reasonable valuations

The US is an expensive market, whereas Europe is attractive in terms of valuation. Emerging markets are inexpensive, while markets like India at 17 times forward [earnings] are not necessarily expensive. But there are stocks like Nestle that are trading at 50 times, which is expensive. Therefore, India is both expensive and inexpensive. You will have to be selective in terms of sectors and stocks.


Monday, March 23, 2015

Own Gold as a hedge

One generally owns some physical gold because in the back of their mind people know something may go wrong in the financial system. We had debt crisis in 2008 and 2009 and now global debt levels have increased by another $57 trillion. Global debt as a percentage to global GDP continues to expand. No one knows how this will end and in this environment one would want to own some real estate and some precious metals.

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Oil could trade to around $40 to $60

The same analysts who had predicted that crude would go to $150 a barrel when oil was at $100 are now predicting it will drop to $20. My feeling is that crude will stabilise between $40 and $60 a barrel.